The Africa Cup of Nations 2025 is finally here. Hosted in Morocco from December 21, 2025 to January 18, 2026, the tournament brings together 24 of Africa’s best national teams. As always, excitement is high. Fans and analysts are already debating the favourites to win AFCON, while also keeping an eye on potential surprises.
AFCON is known for drama, passion, and unpredictability. Still, form, squad quality, and experience give us strong clues. Below is a clear and balanced look at the main contenders, outsiders, and the factors that could decide who lifts the trophy.
AFCON 2025 Favourites: Top Contenders for the Trophy
When discussing AFCON winner predictions, one team stands out above the rest. However, several heavyweights remain close behind.
Morocco – The Clear Favourite
Morocco enter AFCON 2025 as the leading favourites. First of all, they have home advantage. Playing across familiar stadiums with passionate local support is a huge boost. Secondly, their recent form is outstanding. The Atlas Lions arrive on an 18-match winning streak, a record that underlines their consistency.
In addition, Morocco boast one of the strongest squads on the continent. Achraf Hakimi leads the team with authority and experience. Players like Brahim Diaz and Azzedine Ounahi add creativity and control. Moreover, head coach Walid Regragui has proven his tactical intelligence since the 2022 World Cup.
For these reasons, Morocco sit at the top of most lists of favourites to win AFCON 2025.
Strong Contenders Chasing the Title
While Morocco lead the race, AFCON is rarely straightforward. Several established powers have the quality to challenge them.
Egypt – Experience and Hunger
Egypt remain one of the most successful nations in AFCON history. With seven titles, their pedigree is unmatched. This time, they are driven by a strong desire to end a long trophy drought.
Mohamed Salah is once again the focal point. Alongside him, Omar Marmoush offers speed and versatility. Although Egypt are adjusting under a new coach, their tournament experience makes them dangerous. If they find rhythm early, they can go deep.
Senegal – Strength and Balance
Senegal continue to be among the top AFCON contenders. Their squad combines physical strength, tactical discipline, and winning mentality. Kalidou Koulibaly anchors the defence, while Edouard Mendy provides security in goal.
Although Sadio Mané is no longer at his peak, young players like Iliman Ndiaye and Lamine Camara bring energy and creativity. Senegal may not always dominate possession, but they are built to win tight matches.
Algeria – A Team Rebuilding with Purpose
Algeria should not be overlooked. After disappointing recent tournaments, they arrive with renewed focus. Coach Vladimir Petkovic has restored structure and confidence.
Most importantly, Mohamed Amoura has emerged as a key attacking threat. His pace and finishing make Algeria unpredictable and dangerous. If they maintain discipline, they can challenge any opponent.
Nigeria – Talent Seeking Redemption
Nigeria’s squad is packed with attacking quality. Victor Osimhen and Ademola Lookman headline a team full of pace and power. However, recent off-field issues and defensive concerns raise questions.
Still, AFCON often rewards raw talent and momentum. If Nigeria start well, confidence could carry them far. They remain among the outsiders with genuine title potential.
Dark Horses That Could Upset the AFCON 2025 Favourites
AFCON is famous for surprise runs. Therefore, ignoring outsiders would be a mistake.
Ivory Coast – Defending Champions Under Pressure
Ivory Coast shocked many by winning the last edition. However, defending the title is always difficult. Squad changes and tactical adjustments could either refresh the team or disrupt chemistry.
Even so, their blend of youth and experience keeps them competitive.
Tunisia and South Africa – Quiet Threats
Tunisia rely on structure and game management. They rarely collapse and often progress steadily. South Africa, on the other hand, arrive with confidence after a strong showing in the previous tournament. Their cohesion could trouble bigger names.
Key Factors That Will Decide the Winner
Talent alone does not win AFCON. Several factors will shape the final outcome.
Home Advantage and Atmosphere
Morocco’s crowd support could be decisive. Familiar conditions reduce pressure and increase confidence, especially in knockout matches.
Squad Depth and Fitness
With matches coming quickly, rotation matters. Teams with depth can cope better with injuries and fatigue.
Tactical Flexibility
Coaches who adapt during games often succeed. AFCON matches can change quickly due to red cards, penalties, or momentum swings.
Mental Strength
Pressure is intense. Teams that stay calm in penalty shootouts and close games usually progress further.
Final Thoughts on favourites to win AFCON 2025
In conclusion, Morocco deserve their status as the favourites to win AFCON 2025. Home advantage, form, and squad quality place them slightly ahead. However, Egypt, Senegal, Algeria, and Nigeria all have realistic chances.
AFCON rarely follows a script. That is what makes it special. Expect shocks, heroes, and unforgettable moments. No matter the outcome, Africa’s biggest football stage is ready to deliver once again.
